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#1221
"Looking at the S&P 500 since 1950, SentimentTrader applied the following parameters: that the index experienced a more than 20% decline (to represent that it was in a bear market), and that the index then went on to trade above its 200-day moving average for 18 consecutive days.
Of the 11 instances where this scenario has happened, here's what happened next:
The S&P 500 traded higher three, six, and 12 months later 100% of the time, with a median gain of 6.3%, 11.1%, and 19.9%, respectively.
The S&P 500 traded higher one and two months later 91% and 82% of the time, respectively.
The S&P 500 never went on to make new lows, or even test its bear market low. In other words, the index has, historically, never looked back after such a signal was triggered.
The thee prior times the S&P 500 generated this bullish signal was July 2020, August 2009, and May 2003, all dates that ultimately proved to be a good time to buy stocks".
Penso que hoje foi o 20° dia acima da média de 200...
Of the 11 instances where this scenario has happened, here's what happened next:
The S&P 500 traded higher three, six, and 12 months later 100% of the time, with a median gain of 6.3%, 11.1%, and 19.9%, respectively.
The S&P 500 traded higher one and two months later 91% and 82% of the time, respectively.
The S&P 500 never went on to make new lows, or even test its bear market low. In other words, the index has, historically, never looked back after such a signal was triggered.
The thee prior times the S&P 500 generated this bullish signal was July 2020, August 2009, and May 2003, all dates that ultimately proved to be a good time to buy stocks".
Penso que hoje foi o 20° dia acima da média de 200...
"O risco vem de não saber o que se está a fazer" - Warren Buffett
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